Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.911844 1.027297 1.153283 1.301216 1.470475 1.658449 1.883520
2025-01-12 0.728864 0.882691 1.064474 1.296173 1.585099 1.935394 2.395113
2025-01-19 0.607457 0.769296 0.970277 1.240059 1.595511 2.051686 2.687634
2025-01-26 0.549054 0.722220 0.946559 1.261425 1.696612 2.283715 3.147302
2025-02-02 0.505603 0.687089 0.930941 1.286724 1.799534 2.522607 3.638436
2025-02-09 0.465767 0.651295 0.908712 1.297421 1.879085 2.732515 4.108148
2025-02-16 0.430977 0.618312 0.885866 1.302683 1.948124 2.930408 4.579029
2025-02-23 0.406337 0.597138 0.877146 1.326413 2.045111 3.177850 5.154558
2025-03-02 0.370814 0.556298 0.834950 1.293602 2.048407 3.275119 5.490770
2025-03-09 0.353197 0.541056 0.830064 1.318312 2.145529 3.533155 6.130677
2025-03-16 0.329051 0.513459 0.803187 1.304134 2.175226 3.678649 6.585547
2025-03-23 0.312661 0.496838 0.792282 1.314998 2.247823 3.904393 7.213762
2025-03-30 0.291364 0.471026 0.764961 1.296524 2.268957 4.043898 7.703595
2025-04-06 0.273591 0.449804 0.743722 1.286851 2.305140 4.215211 8.280148
2025-04-13 0.249905 0.416745 0.699618 1.232007 2.251289 4.208470 8.488848
2025-04-20 0.240736 0.408080 0.697212 1.253063 2.343507 4.495360 9.354839
2025-04-27 0.232891 0.401111 0.697143 1.278205 2.445709 4.812644 10.330821
2025-05-04 0.223511 0.390680 0.689933 1.288819 2.519440 5.078580 11.227765
2025-05-11 0.214100 0.379512 0.680475 1.294043 2.582259 5.327597 12.120067
2025-05-18 0.207752 0.373558 0.680288 1.317598 2.685619 5.675794 13.302599
2025-05-25 0.194881 0.354473 0.653691 1.285029 2.664849 5.743816 13.795746
2025-06-01 0.189718 0.349769 0.654606 1.309557 2.771774 6.115661 15.124991
2025-06-08 0.180504 0.336615 0.637956 1.295483 2.790457 6.282190 15.935565